Tuesday, August 19, 2008

No avoiding it.


Atlantic Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm Fay Intermediate Advisory Number 13a

Issued at: 7:53 PM EDT 8/18/08 (gateway).

Fay headed northward toward the southwest Florida coast,

A hurricane warning is in effect for the southwestern coast of florida from flamingo to anna maria island. A hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A tropical storm warning and a hurricane watch are in effect for the florida west coast north of anna maria island to tarpon springs.

A tropical storm warning is in effect along the Florida east coast from flagler beach southward, including lake okeechobee.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect for the Florida keys from ocean reef to key west, including the dry tortugas, and for the florida mainland east of flamingo to card sound bridge.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the Florida east coast north of flagler beach to fernandina beach.

A tropical storm watch is in effect for the northwestern bahamas.

Interests elsewhere in Florida and the eastern gulf of mexico should monitor the progress of fay.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 800 pm edt, 0000z, the center of tropical storm fay was located near latitude 25.0 north, longitude 81.9 west or about 105 miles, 170 km, south of naples Florida.

Fay is moving toward the north near 9 mph, 15 km/hr. This general motion is expected to continue tonight and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of fay will cross the southwestern coast of Florida on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph, 95 km/hr, with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected tonight and Tuesday, and fay is forecast to be at or near hurricane strength as it approaches the southwestern coast of Florida.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 125 miles, 205 km from the center.

The latest minimum central pressure reported by an air force reserve hurricane hunter aircraft is 998 mb, 29.47 inches.

Storm tides of 3 to 5 feet above normal are possible along the southwestern coast of Florida near the center of fay. Tides of 2 to 4 ft above normal are possible in the Florida keys.

Fay is expected to produce additional rainfall accumulations of 3 to 5 inches over the central portion of cuba, with storm total amounts of 20 inches being possible. These rains could cause life threatening flash-floods and mudslides. Rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches, with maximum storm total amounts of 10 inches, are possible for the Florida keys and the central and southern Florida peninsula. Rainfall accumulations of 3 to 5 inches are possible in the northwestern bahamas.

Isolated tornadoes are possible tonight and Tuesday over southern and central Florida.

Repeating the 800 pm edt position, 25.0 n, 81.9 w. Movement toward, north near 9 mph. Maximum sustained winds, 60 mph. Minimum central pressure, 998 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 1100 pm edt.

National Weather Service

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