Monday, September 3, 2007

It’s a 5 now.

Atlantic Tropical Storm
Hurricane Felix Advisory Number 13


Issued at: 10:31 AM EDT 9/3/07 (gateway).


Felix continues to move rapidly westward and remains a potentially catastrophic hurricane,
At 11 am edt, the government of nicaragua has issued a hurricane warning for nicaragua from puerto cabezas northward to the honduras/nicaragua border. A hurricane warning is also in effect for honduras from limon eastward to the honduras nicaragua border. A hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
A hurricane watch is in effect for honduras west of limon, for the caribbean coast of guatemala, and for the entire coast of belize.
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for jamaica and for grand cayman. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 hours.
Interests elsewhere in the western caribbean sea should closely monitor the progress of this potentially catastrophic hurricane.
For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 1100 am edt, 1500z, the center of hurricane felix was located near latitude 14.3 north, longitude 77.8 west or about 265 miles, 425 km, south-southwest of kingston jamaica and about 365 miles, 585 km, east of cabo gracias a dios on the nicaragua/honduras border.
Felix is moving toward the west near 21 mph, 33 km/hr, and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On this track, the center of felix will be near the coasts of extreme northeastern nicaragua and northeastern honduras early on Tuesday morning.
Maximum sustained winds are near 160 mph, 260 km/hr, with higher gusts. Felix is a potentially catastrophic category five hurricane on the saffir-simpson scale. Fluctuations in intensity are common in major hurricanes, but felix is expected to maintain category four or five status through tonight and early Tuesday.
Although felix is an extremely powerful hurricane it has a very small wind field. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 30 miles, 45 km, from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles, 185 km.
The minimum central pressure estimated from noaa hurricane hunter aircraft data is 940 mb, 27.76 inches.
Felix is expected to produce 5 to 8 inches of rain across northern honduras and northeastern nicaragua, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches. These rains could produce life- threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Repeating the 1100 am edt position, 14.3 n, 77.8 w. Movement toward, west near 21 mph. Maximum sustained winds, 160 mph. Minimum central pressure, 940 mb.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 200 pm edt followed by the next complete advisory at 500 pm edt.

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